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NBA Key Performance Data 

NBA ATS Trends - Daily Game Analyses/News

 
Monday,  2/8/2010
NEW ORLEANS: 12-4 Over playing their 3rd game in 4 days
ORLANDO: 41-18 ATS if underdog last game
 
SAN ANTONIO: 5-1 Under at Lakers
LA LAKERS: 1-5 ATS after allowing 85 pts or less
 
DALLAS: 13-2 ATS Away off SU loss as favorite
GOLDEN STATE: 8-0 Over at home off 3+ Unders
 
** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Additional NBA Basketball ATS Trends:
Pro Basketball Trend Report
NEW ORLEANS (27 - 24) at ORLANDO (34 - 17) - 2/8/2010, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 60-77 ATS (-24.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 27-43 ATS (-20.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 86-67 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 56-39 ATS (+13.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 45-28 ATS (+14.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 2-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

SAN ANTONIO (29 - 20) at LA LAKERS (39 - 13) - 2/8/2010, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 7-6 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 8-5 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

DALLAS (31 - 19) at GOLDEN STATE (13 - 36) - 2/8/2010, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 20-30 ATS (-13.0 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-3 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

   

   

NCAA Basketball Key Performance Data

NCAA Basketball ATS Trends - Daily Game Analyses/News - Handicapping 2009/2010 College Hoops
 
Monday,  2/8/2010
VILLANOVA: 11-3 ATS when playing only their 3rd game in a week
W VIRGINIA: 2-9 ATS off a road win
 
LOYOLA-IL: 1-9 SU after BB home games
BUTLER: 13-5 Over after playing 4 consecutive games as favorite
 
IL-CHICAGO: 0-7 ATS Away revenging a loss when team scored less than 60 points
VALPARAISO: 9-0 ATS after one or more consecutive overs
 
LOUISIANA TECH: 6-0 ATS when the line is +3 to -3
NEW MEXICO ST: 5-18 ATS after allowing 80+
 
KANSAS: 8-1 ATS when playing with one or less days rest
TEXAS: 1-7 ATS against conference opponents
 
Added Games
APPALACHIAN ST: 0-8 ATS when playing their 2nd road game in 3 days
UNC-GREENSBORO: 9-1 ATS off a conference road loss
 
W CAROLINA: 1-9 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5
ELON: 13-2 ATS at home after allowing 25 or less in the first half
 
THE CITADEL: 22-5 ATS as an underdog
COLL OF CHARLESTON: 11-2 Under after playing as a home favorite
 
FAIRFIELD: 9-20 ATS after a conference game
SIENA: 12-5 ATS as a favorite
 
NIAGARA: 8-1 ATS in February
RIDER: 3-11 ATS at home after one or more consecutive overs
 
Write-In Game
UNC-WILMINGTON: 2-10 ATS against conference opponents
DELAWARE: 9-1 ATS off a home loss
 
** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Additional College Basketball ATS Trends:
College Basketball Trend Report
VILLANOVA (20 - 2) at W VIRGINIA (19 - 3) - 2/8/2010, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W VIRGINIA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 since 1997.
W VIRGINIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games in February games over the last 3 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games this season.
VILLANOVA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
VILLANOVA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 1-1 against the spread versus VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 1-1 straight up against VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

LOYOLA-IL (13 - 10) at BUTLER (20 - 4) - 2/8/2010, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOYOLA-IL is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
LOYOLA-IL is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LOYOLA-IL is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LOYOLA-IL is 4-1 against the spread versus BUTLER over the last 3 seasons
BUTLER is 4-1 straight up against LOYOLA-IL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

IL-CHICAGO (6 - 17) at VALPARAISO (12 - 13) - 2/8/2010, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VALPARAISO is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in all games this season.
VALPARAISO is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
VALPARAISO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
IL-CHICAGO is 4-1 against the spread versus VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
IL-CHICAGO is 3-2 straight up against VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

LOUISIANA TECH (19 - 4) at NEW MEXICO ST (14 - 8) - 2/8/2010, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISIANA TECH is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 90-65 ATS (+18.5 Units) in road games since 1997.
LOUISIANA TECH is 90-65 ATS (+18.5 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
LOUISIANA TECH is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 40-21 ATS (+16.9 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
LOUISIANA TECH is 22-6 ATS (+15.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in home games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISIANA TECH is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO ST is 4-1 straight up against LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

KANSAS (22 - 1) at TEXAS (19 - 4) - 2/8/2010, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in home games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
KANSAS is 50-34 ATS (+12.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS is 50-34 ATS (+12.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
TEXAS is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
TEXAS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS is 2-1 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS is 2-1 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

APPALACHIAN ST (13 - 10) at UNC-GREENSBORO (5 - 18) - 2/8/2010, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
APPALACHIAN ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 16-26 ATS (-12.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
UNC-GREENSBORO is 5-1 against the spread versus APPALACHIAN ST over the last 3 seasons
UNC-GREENSBORO is 3-3 straight up against APPALACHIAN ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

W CAROLINA (18 - 6) at ELON (5 - 17) - 2/8/2010, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W CAROLINA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
W CAROLINA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ELON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ELON is 4-1 against the spread versus W CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
W CAROLINA is 3-2 straight up against ELON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

THE CITADEL (12 - 12) at COLL OF CHARLESTON (16 - 8) - 2/8/2010, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games this season.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing with one or less days rest this season.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after a conference game this season.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
THE CITADEL is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
THE CITADEL is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
THE CITADEL is 22-5 ATS (+16.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
THE CITADEL is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
THE CITADEL is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
THE CITADEL is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
THE CITADEL is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
THE CITADEL is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
THE CITADEL is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 3-3 against the spread versus THE CITADEL over the last 3 seasons
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 4-2 straight up against THE CITADEL over the last 3 seasons
6 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

FAIRFIELD (16 - 7) at SIENA (20 - 4) - 2/8/2010, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FAIRFIELD is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
FAIRFIELD is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
FAIRFIELD is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
SIENA is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
SIENA is 4-2 against the spread versus FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
SIENA is 5-1 straight up against FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

NIAGARA (13 - 12) at RIDER (13 - 12) - 2/8/2010, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NIAGARA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
RIDER is 3-3 against the spread versus NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
RIDER is 3-3 straight up against NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MD-EAST SHORE (6 - 16) at N CAROLINA A&T (8 - 15) - 2/8/2010, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA A&T is 4-0 straight up against MD-EAST SHORE over the last 3 seasons

ALCORN ST (1 - 22) at GRAMBLING (5 - 13) - 2/8/2010, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
GRAMBLING is 3-2 straight up against ALCORN ST over the last 3 seasons

JAMES MADISON (10 - 13) at TOWSON ST (5 - 17) - 2/8/2010, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JAMES MADISON is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
JAMES MADISON is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
JAMES MADISON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TOWSON ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TOWSON ST is 3-2 against the spread versus JAMES MADISON over the last 3 seasons
JAMES MADISON is 3-2 straight up against TOWSON ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

UNC-WILMINGTON (7 - 16) at DELAWARE (6 - 17) - 2/8/2010, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNC-WILMINGTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
DELAWARE is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
UNC-WILMINGTON is 57-36 ATS (+17.4 Units) in February games since 1997.
UNC-WILMINGTON is 77-54 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
UNC-WILMINGTON is 3-0 against the spread versus DELAWARE over the last 3 seasons
UNC-WILMINGTON is 2-1 straight up against DELAWARE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

   

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MLB Baseball Key Performance Data

MLB Baseball ATS Trends - Daily Game Analyses/News
 
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Horse Racing  Key Performance Data 

Horse Racing Trends - Free Daily Picks/News
 
Handicapping Tips

Greg Melikov has been handicapping and writing about horses for decades. His articles and columns appear globally in print and online.

Unless I get the message straight from the horse's mouth or another part of the anatomy -- aggressive, controllable behavior, shiny coat or a fluid transition from a walking gait to a gallop in the post parade -- I rely on handicapping.

However, I'm not opposed to following sensible advice on making those selections such as:

1) Avoid first-time starters on the rail, especially in sprints, because speed horses breaking outside of them often prove intimidating.

2) Bullet workouts are good indicators that a horse is ready to roll, but pay more attention to fast works within a week of the next race.

3) Watch for a thoroughbred entered in a sprint after racing first or second near the far turn in a route before weakening.

4) Pacesetters with veteran jockeys and the inside post have the edge on off tracks and finish in the money about 25 percent of the time.

5) Post positions mean more when a horse shows a preference for winning from the inside or outside.

6) Look for thoroughbreds that exhibit improvement by the decreasing number of beaten lengths and increasing speed figures.

7) Weight comes into play in routes -- a five-pound advantage is worth about a length.

8) Horses encountering traffic problems in large fields should be tabbed when part of a small field.

9) Consider betting on a horse with spotty performances and high odds when a top jockey climbs aboard.

10) Money management is the primary key to winning. So when you're hot, increase your bets. And when you're not, decrease your wagers. That's because some streaks last for days.

11) One way to insure a losing streak is to bet on short-priced favorites -- that strategy will l ead you to the poor house. Obviously, you can't win every race so you must be selective.

12) I knew a turf writing handicapper who refused to bet on favorites that dropped below 5-2. Others I know don't wager on horses below 2-1.

13) As far as I'm concerned, that doesn't include exotic bets. It's all right to include such favorites in exactas, trifectas and Pick 3s, 4s, 5s, 6s, etc. But I also always include a longshot unless the favorite appears truly unbeatable.

14) I've learned from several handicappers that you must be willing to adjust at any time. You must apply what factors are important for a particular race.

15) Discount so-called inside information. Bet your own horses. Once in a while you might get a tip that has some validity, but by the time it reaches you, it has passed through many hands and undoubtedly will be overbet.

So the next time you get a tip, check out the horse and see if the thoroughbred passes your handicapping test. And let your wagering conscience be your guide.

---------------------------------------------

Free goods and services

Handicapping a horse race is like the search for a good golf swing in two main ways.

There's a lot to remember.

And, pressure causes forgetfulness.

Over the last couple of weeks, I've heard from a number of people who could use a basic handicapping foundation — a redefining of the essential elements for horse players stuck in old mud, and something like a basic strategy for those relatively new to the game.

Here's my favorite email on the subject: Listen, why don't you put together something that summarizes the "new handicapping" age. But not in a book for $25. Put it right here for free. Your reward will be in benefiting others.

1. Forget all but one or two of those how-to books. If a system worked, the writer wouldn't have to write about it. Hard as writing can be, it's still easier than picking winners consistently.

2. Don't automatically dismiss dramatic drops in class.

Time was, a big class drop meant that a horse was not on solid footing.

But the other night, I saw one drop from $15,000 to half that and win like one fast mummy, all taped up, who knows for sure if the wraps were even needed.

Purses spun up by slot machine profits are now are now oftentimes worth the drop-down gamble.

3. Avoid extreme works — too fast too slow, that's another way of saying the trainer lost it.

4. Don't let a long layoff be the only reason to keep you from making a play.

Not all works are official.

5. Odds-on big-time first-timers are great bets on pick 3's, 4's and 6's.

6. Play hot barns.

Not to cast too many aspersions, but winning can be habit forming.

7. If an obvious horse with mid-level odds doesn't get bet, leave it alone.

If they don't like it, why should you?

8. Late runners are for suckers.

They're usually shorter than should be the case because of the drama of the swoop that just misses.

9. Good female jockeys are almost always underplayed at the windows by yahoos.

10. It matters where a trouble line occurred.

Late, toward the front, yeah; fifth around the first turn, not so much.

Also, there's a whole lot of flopping going on  beaten jockeys oftentimes resemble beaten soccer players.

11. Horses that lug in are usually fine.

Lug in, dig in — similar.

12. Horses that drift are tired.

13. Horses with speed are the best possibility for big long shot wins.

Uncontested speed at any distance and on any surface can represent a gift horse.

14. Cheap claiming favorites make little sense.

15. Many state-bred stakes races are about like $5,000 open claiming races.

16. A handicapper's mood is critical.

Bad moods lose.

17. Technical stats matter.

Bad trainers and jockeys seldom improve over the meet, forget overnight.

18. Small tracks rock and rule.

Purses spiked by slot machines attract better material than the larger fading money pits.

19. Wins against short fields are for the railbirds.

Subtract five Beyer points for each win against fewer than ten.

20. "Lost jockey" is not so bad. Except for the jockey.

If the jockey is decent and gets back on, so should you.

21. Never bet horses moving from the lint, or fake dirt, to the real thing.

It's your money. Soon it could be somebody else's. A person needs a rule or two.

22. Focus on exotics, play them first — rolling doubles, pick 3's, 4's, etc., because that's all about looking for winners.

Steven Crist wrote a good book about why exotics make the most sense and money.

23. Think twice about L1 after a good race, first-time lasix after something like a win.

My granddaddy wondered how much better can a young one get, anyway?

24. Handicap late.

What's the rush? Biases are so important, handicapping the night before can seem like old news.

25. Don't let odds chase you off a horse, save for the exception mentioned before — the horse that figures to be bet a little, but isn't.

Take a good look around at just who sets the odds: Goofballs

26. Heed expert selections.

What more could you ask than a guaranteed loser, or more, per big race?

Pressure puts the expert picker in a pickle: He or she would rather have company losing on the obvious than by trying a long shot and slumping alone.

Certain expert picker angles, like searching for "value," are like found money.

Searching for "value" is like not fouling at basketball when you're up by three with a few seconds left.

Did you know that nobody can recall a single basketball team that was up by three going to the last shot, and fouled, and lost? Once? Ever? If it has never ever once happened, why don't all coaches up three going to the last shot foul? Simple, they're scared dumb.

Similarly, nobody in expert horse race picking history can ever recall a "value" pick winning a race.

Guess what, all winners have value.

27. Learn how to pass on a race.

If a race doesn't make decent sense, watch it.

I can't recall passing on many races I would have won with a bet.

28. Breeding is important.

Get a book.

29. Don't drink and bet unless you're made of money and are walking.

30. An "off" track means everything.

Results from mud to dry, or dry to mud, are seldom similar.

31. Lay off the windows after a big win.

It isn't roulette. It's skill, remember?

32. Never bet more than you can afford to win.

Not betting enough causes bad beats.

If you don't have enough money to adequately cover what you like, stay home.

33. Don't make a big win bet to try to get even.

It's a loser's curse.

34. Ask somebody else about grass races.

About the only turf races I win are loose on the lead, or bad last to first, sorry, I know next to nothing of the difficult subject.

35. Post position bias is a little overrated.

Once you've hit a nice 11-12 exacta box at Lone Star, it's fairly obvious that speed and style are the most important gate elements.

36. Buy a Racing Form.

Trying to handicap from a program is like studying for finals with only Cliffs Notes.

37. Always bet pet names.

What's two bucks.

38. Think fast about post parades.

On simulcast TV windows, you're lucky if you get the opportunity to see all the legs.

Obviously, heated or flat behavior in the post parade can be cause for concern.

A halfway decent trainer told me that if a horse was shaking his head side to side with meaning, not up and down, side to side, it could be another way of saying: Forget it, no way I'm running today.

39. Be aware of front wraps.

Sure, it could be something innocent.

I know a man who, in inexpensive claiming races, boxes horses without front wraps; and makes money doing it.

40. Think about not taking a loved one to the races on a regular basis. It can be like fishing in a tiny boat with a spouse, or golfing in the same cart.

Horse racing is fun after it's work. You want to take a loved one to work, that's just you.


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